通讯作者: 毛阿燕, mao.ayan@imicams.ac.cn

DOI：10.12201/bmr.202503.00067

Research on the weight of public health security risk assessment index in China based on analytic hierarchy process

• 摘要：目的 运用层次分析法(AHP)确定我国公共卫生安全风险评估指标的权重,为公共卫生安全风险的量化评估和科学管理提供依据。方法 在通过德尔菲法构建公共卫生安全风险评估指标体系的基础上,采用层次分析法构建我国公共卫生安全风险评估层次模型,建立两两比较判断矩阵并进行一致性检验,确保权重分配的合理性。最终计算各级指标的权重值和组合权重。结果 指标体系包括3个一级指标,18个二级指标,43个三级指标,各层次指标权重系数均满足一致性检验,并最终确定了我国公共卫生安全风险评估指标体系的权重分配和排序。结论 基于层次分析法构建的公共卫生安全风险评估指标体系,能够科学、合理地反映各指标的相对重要性,为我国公共卫生安全风险的量化评估、预警及防控提供了重要支持。

  关键词： 层次分析法; 指标权重; 公共卫生安全; 风险评估

   

  Abstract: Objective To determine the weight of public health security risk assessment indicators in China by using analytic hierarchy process ( AHP ), and to provide a basis for quantitative assessment and scientific management of public health security risks. Methods Based on the construction of public health security risk assessment index system by Delphi method, the analytic hierarchy process is used to construct the hierarchical model of public health security risk assessment in China. The pairwise comparison judgment matrix is established and the consistency test is carried out to ensure the rationality of weight distribution, and the weight value and combined weight of each index are calculated. Results The index system included 3 first-level indicators, 18 second-level indicators and 43 third-level indicators. The weight coefficients of each level of indicators met the consistency test, and the weight distribution and ranking of Chinas public health security risk assessment index system were finally determined. Conclusion The public health security risk assessment index system based on the analytic hierarchy process can scientifically and reasonably reflect the relative importance of each index, and provide important support for the quantitative assessment, early warning, prevention and control of public health security risks in China.

  Key words: Analytic hierarchy process; index weight; public health security; risk assessment

  提交时间：2025-03-21

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• 序号	提交日期	编号	操作
  1	2025-03-18	bmr.202503.00067V1	下载

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